6th ECB Workshop on Forecasting Techniques

Forecasting: The role of real-time and survey data

Deadline for submission: 15 November 2009

Topics
The Euro Area Business Cycle Network (EABCN), the Deutsche Bundesbank and the European Central Bank (ECB) are organizing the 6th ECB Workshop on Forecasting Techniques on the topic “Forecasting: the role of real-time and survey data”. The workshop will be held in Frankfurt am Main on March 5-6 2010. 

The workshop will provide a forum for the presentation of recent theoretical and empirical contributions regarding the role of real-time and survey data in forecasting macroeconomic and financial variables. The recent period of heightened economic and financial uncertainty has demonstrated the importance of a timely assessment of the economic and financial outlook and the associated risks for policy makers.

Possible topics are the following:

1. Forecasting with real-time data and analysis of the revision process.
2. The use of micro and macro surveys in forecasting.
3. Timely forecasting and monetary policy.
4. Forecasting financial variables: asset prices, corporate and household loans.
5. Density forecasts.

However, the scope of the conference should be considered as wider than the themes listed above and submissions from all areas of macroeconomic and monetary forecasting are strongly encouraged.

Invited speakers
Michael Clements (Warwick University), Lucrezia Reichlin (London Business School), Allan Timmermann (UC San Diego) and Mark Watson (Princeton University) have confirmed their participation as invited speakers.

Submission of papers and deadlines
Manuscript in PDF format should be submitted following the instructions on the CEPR web site: http://www.cepr.org/R023678746641-299961982343 and must be received by November 15 2009. Accepted papers will be communicated by December 15 2009.

Expenses
Travel and accommodation expenses of invited presenters and discussants will be covered by the organizers.

Scientific committee
Matteo Ciccarelli (ECB), Siem Jan Koopman (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), Michele Lenza (ECB) and Christian Schumacher (Deutsche Bundesbank ).