Navigation Path: Home > Statistics > Prices, output, demand and labour > Survey indicators > ECB survey of professional forecasters SPF > Real GDP growth forecasts
Real GDP growth is defined as year on year percentage change of real GDP, based on standardised ESA definition.
| Survey round | Current calendar year |
Next calendar year |
Calendar year after next |
One year ahead | Two years ahead | Longer term (five years ahead) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 Q1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1999 Q2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | ||
| 1999 Q3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.7 | ||
| 1999 Q4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | ||
| 2000 Q1 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | |
| 2000 Q2 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 | ||
| 2000 Q3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.0 | |
| 2000 Q4 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.9 | |
| 2001 Q1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | |
| 2001 Q2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | |
| 2001 Q3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 2001 Q4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 2002 Q1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | |
| 2002 Q2 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | |
| 2002 Q3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 2002 Q4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| 2003 Q1 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | |
| 2003 Q2 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | |
| 2003 Q3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| 2003 Q4 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 2004 Q1 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | |
| 2004 Q2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |
| 2004 Q3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 2004 Q4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 2005 Q1 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |
| 2005 Q2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | |
| 2005 Q3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 2005 Q4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| 2006 Q1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | |
| 2006 Q2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| 2006 Q3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 2006 Q4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 2007 Q1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
| 2007 Q2 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | |
| 2007 Q3 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 2007 Q4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 2008 Q1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |
| 2008 Q2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | |
| 2008 Q3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 2008 Q4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 2009 Q1 | -1.7 | 0.6 | -1.8 | 0.9 | 2.0 | |
| 2009 Q2 | -3.4 | 0.2 | -2.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | |
| 2009 Q3 | -4.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| 2009 Q4 | -3.9 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 2010 Q1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| 2010 Q2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | |
| 2010 Q3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 2010 Q4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 2011 Q1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| 2011 Q2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| 2011 Q3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 2011 Q4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 2012 Q1 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | |
| 2012 Q2 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | |
| 2012 Q3 | -0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 2012 Q4 | -0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 2013 Q1 | -0.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 2013 Q2 | -0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
